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     ZACHMAN ARCHIVES ...
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The Information Age
(1) Future Shock

by John A. Zachman

The Information Age

Here is a little context around the Information Age.  In the interest of time and space, I will try to be brief but there is a key point I have to make.  Having made this observation, I will limit my comments about the Information Age to some well-known works by Alvin Toffler, and I will break this column into three separate parts based on the following:

"FUTURE SHOCK" (1970) — THE RATE OF CHANGE.

"THE THIRD WAVE" (1980) — THE STRUCTURE OF CHANGE.

"POWERSHIFT" (1990) — THE CULTURE OF CHANGE.

                                                                                  ~ ALVIN TOFFLER

Alvin Toffler is a well-known name, certainly in the academic community.  He is a sociological prognosticator, a futurist, and has written a lot of books.  The ones that I refer to above are the ones he wrote that have to do with change.

Future Shock

The first book he wrote about change is "Future Shock" in which he observed that "'Knowledge is change — and accelerating knowledge-acquisition, fueling the great engine of technology, means accelerating change."

He observed that the body of knowledge in this generation (1970) had increased such that it exceeds the total body of knowledge of all the generations of the past!

In a phone conversation with my friend, Roger Greer, he observed that the body of knowledge in 1993 was doubling every six years and that by 2023, it will be doubling every six months!

Another friend of mine ran across an academic, Dr. Nick Bontis of McMaster University, who observed that

"In the 1930s the cumulative codified knowledge base of the world doubled every 30 years...
"In the 1970s the cumulative codified knowledge base of the world doubled every 7 years ...
"By the year 2010, the cumulative codified knowledge base of the world will double every eleven hours!"

The basic idea in "Future Shock" is that when the changes are coming faster than they can be assimilated, you go into "future shock" ... you go catatonic ... you just give up.

I went into "future shock" a few years ago myself ... because of email!  The email was coming so fast I just gave up.  I have several thousand email messages out there that I haven't read yet!  Maybe some of my family died or something ... I don't know.  But, I keep trying to catch up ... but you never get a vacation!!  It just keeps coming!

One thing we know about the Information Age is, the rate of change is escalating ... and it is escalating dramatically.  Not many people take exception to this anymore ... it is no longer simply a corporate problem.  It has become a personal problem!

In my next two pieces I'll do some writing on "The Third Wave" and "Powershift."

This article can also be viewed on John's blog — presented here, with permission.



standard citation for this article:
John A. Zachman, "The Information Age:  (1) Future Shock," Business Rules Journal, Vol. 17, No. 1 (Jan. 2016), URL:  http://www.BRCommunity.com/a2016/b845.html  

January 2017
The Issue Is THE ENTERPRISE
By John A. Zachman


October 2016
Strategy Spectrum for Enterprise Engineering and Manufacturing
By John A. Zachman


July 2016
The New EA Paradigm
(4) The Assemble-to-Order Pattern

By John A. Zachman


June 2016
The New EA Paradigm
(3) The Provide-from-Stock Pattern

By John A. Zachman


May 2016
The New EA Paradigm
(2) The Make-to-Order Pattern

By John A. Zachman


April 2016
The New EA Paradigm
(1) Expenses and Assets

By John A. Zachman


March 2016
The Information Age: (3) Powershift
By John A. Zachman


February 2016
The Information Age: (2) The Third Wave
By John A. Zachman


January 2016
The Information Age: (1) Future Shock
By John A. Zachman


December 2015
Defining Enterprise Architecture: Economics and the Role of I.T.
By John A. Zachman


November 2015
Enterprise Physics 101
By John A. Zachman


September 2015
A Historical Look at Enterprise Architecture with John Zachman
By John A. Zachman


August 2015
Cloud Computing and Enterprise Architecture
By John A. Zachman


June 2015
The Zachman Framework Evolution (Part 2)
Special Guest: John P. Zachman


May 2015
The Zachman Framework Evolution (Part 1)
Special Guest: John P. Zachman


April 2015
Architecture is Architecture is Architecture
By John A. Zachman


April 2013
John Zachman's Concise Definition of The Zachman Framework
By John A. Zachman


November 2004
The Zachman Framework and Observations on Methodologies

 

November 2003

Framework Fundamentals: Frameworks, Reference Models, and Matrices

 

August 2003

Framework Fundamentals: A Dialog With John Zachman

 

June 2003

Framework Fundamentals: Miscellaneous Enterprise Engineering Concepts

 

April 2003

Framework Fundamentals: Framework Fundamentals: Level of Detail is a Function of a CELL

 

February 2003

Framework Fundamentals: Responding to Questions from the OMG

 

May 2002

Enterprise Quantum Mechanics (Part 2)

 

March 2002

Enterprise Quantum Mechanics (Part 1)

 

January 2002

"What" Versus "What"

 

November 2001

Security And The "Zachman Framework"

 

September 2001

Fatal Distractions (Part 2)

 

July 2001

Fatal Distractions (Part 1)

 

May 2001

You Can't "Cost-Justify" Architecture

 

March 2001

Conceptual, Logical, Physical: It Is Simple (Part 2 of 2)

 

January 2001

Conceptual, Logical, Physical: It Is Simple (Part 1 of 2)

 

September 2000

Building The Enterprise - An Infusion Of Honesty

 

July 2000

All the Reasons Why You Can't Do Architecture or ("We Has Met the Enemy and He Is Us")

 

May 2000

Enterprise Architecture Artifacts vs Application Development Artifacts (Part 2)

 

March 2000

Enterprise Architecture Artifacts vs Application Development Artifacts (Part 1)

 

November/December 1999 & January/February 2000

Enterprise Architecture: Issues, Ingibitors, and Incentives


July/August & September/October 1999

Packages Don't Let You Off The Hook

By John A. Zachman


January/February & March/April 1999

Life Is a Series of Trade-Offs and Change Is Accelerating!


November/December 1998

"Yes Virginia, There IS an Enterprise Architecture"


July/August 1998

Enterprise Architecture: Looking Back and Looking Ahead


January/February 1998

The Framework for Enterprise Architecture (The 'Zachman Framework') and the Search for the Owner's View of Business Rules

 

 

 about . . .

 JOHN A. ZACHMAN

 

John A. Zachman is the originator of the “Framework for Enterprise Architecture” (The Zachman Framework™) which has received broad acceptance around the world as an integrative framework, an ontology for descriptive representations for Enterprises. Mr. Zachman is not only known for this work on Enterprise Architecture, but is also known for his early contributions to IBM’s Information Strategy methodology (Business Systems Planning) as well as to their Executive team planning techniques (Intensive Planning).

Mr. Zachman retired from IBM in 1990, having served them for 26 years. He is Chief Executive Officer of his own education and consulting business, Zachman International®.

Mr. Zachman serves on the Executive Council for Information Management and Technology (ECIMT) of the United States Government Accountability Office (GAO) and on the Advisory Board of the Data Administration Management Association International (DAMA-I) from whom he was awarded the 2002 Lifetime Achievement Award. He was awarded the 2009 Enterprise Architecture Professional Lifetime Achievement Award from the Center for Advancement of the Enterprise Architecture Profession as well as the 2004 Oakland University, Applied Technology in Business (ATIB), Award for IS Excellence and Innovation.  In August 2011,  he was awarded the Gen. Colin Powell Public Sector Image Award by the Armed Services Alliance Program.

Mr. Zachman has been focusing on Enterprise Architecture since 1970 and has written extensively on the subject. He has facilitated innumerable executive team planning sessions. He travels nationally and internationally, teaching and consulting, and is a popular conference speaker, known for his motivating messages on Enterprise Architecture issues. He has spoken to many thousands of enterprise managers and information professionals on every continent.

In addition to his professional activities, Mr. Zachman serves on the Elder Council of the Church on the Way (First Foursquare Church of Van Nuys, California), the Board of Directors of Living Way Ministries, a radio and television ministry of the Church on the Way, the President’s Cabinet of the King’s College University, the Board of Directors of the Los Angeles Citywide Children’s Christian Choir, the Board of Directors of Heavenworks, an international ministry to the French-speaking world and on the Board of Directors of Native Hope International, a Los Angeles-based ministry to the Native American people.

Prior to joining IBM, Mr. Zachman served as a line officer in the United States Navy and is a retired Commander in the U. S. Naval Reserve. He chaired a panel on "Planning, Development and Maintenance Tools and Methods Integration"  for the U. S. National Institute of Standards and Technology. He holds a degree in Chemistry from Northwestern University, has taught at Tufts University, has served on the Board of Councilors for the School of Library and Information Management at the University of Southern California, as a Special Advisor to the School of Library and Information Managementat Emporia State University, on the Advisory Council to the School of Library and Information Managementat Dominican University and on the Advisory Board for the Data Resource Management Programat the University of Washington. He has been a Fellow for the College of Business Administration of the University of North Texas and currently is listed in Cambridge Who’s Who.

 

 

 

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